Chandrika Kularathna
and Lalith Rajapaksha
Janathakshan
Ltd.
Agriculture is a key sector that stands to benefit from well-designed
climate information products (CIPs). Prior knowledge about variations of
weather parameters can assist in planning and making operational decisions,
reducing risks, and maximising returns, while facilitating the process of adapting
to climate change. Therefore, CIPs can make a significant contribution to
ensure Sri Lanka’s food security in the long run, under conditions of rising
climatic uncertainty.
However, many developing countries, including Sri Lanka, still
lag behind in producing and disseminating accurate and reliable CIPs for
farmers. As a result, farmers still rely on their traditional knowledge when planning
farming activities and making agronomic decisions. They make risky decisions,
based on their own expectations about weather patterns such as rainfall. In
this context, it is concerning that the reliability of farmers’ traditional
knowledge has declined due to unexpected changes in local climate patterns.
Thus, farmers struggle to make accurate agronomic decisions. This points
to the urgent need to develop and disseminate reliable and timely CIPs to
farmers and integrate scientific climate information systems to their decision
making processes.
Demand-side
Challenges in CIPs
Despite the growing volume of available climate
information across developing regions, there are substantial gaps between the
information held by CIP providers, such as national
meteorological agencies, and the information demanded by users, such as
farmers. While scientific advances continue to
improve the coverage and the quality of observational networks and the accuracy
of forecasts across time scales, there are numerous scientific and practical
barriers which impact the use of climate information
by agricultural communities in these regions; limitations in relevance and
accuracy of CIPs, inadequate institutional capacity for timely delivery and lack
of access to climate information, technical formats that cannot be
understood by farmers, and disconnect between
the providers and users of CIPs to name a few.
Limited Local Relevance and Accuracy of CIPs
CIPs must be locally relevant if they are to be useful in
guiding decisions at the community level. The locally focused, high resolution
CIPs will foster confidence and trust among farmers about the reliability and
accuracy of these information products. Moreover, if the users are highly
vulnerable to climate risks, the marginal benefits of using CIPs are high; even
the low resolution CIPs are useful in such cases.
Providing CIPs across multiple time scales is also
important. Farmers demand different types of information at different time
scales in the crop calendar. CIP providers should cater to this demand through
short term, medium term and long term CIPs, to enhance the usefulness of CIPs. Despite
the demand, many national meteorological agencies in developing countries, lack
the skill and capacity to produce location-specific CIPs across multiple time
scales, in high resolution.
Issues
in Timely Delivery and Access
Even though communication technologies, such as the internet,
email, and mobile phones have become widely popular, the modes of disseminating
CIPs still remain restricted. Many farmers live in remote areas, with limited
connectivity and cannot afford communication channels. As a result, they do not
have easy access to CIPs, even when locally-specific, high resolution CIPs are
available. This calls for the development of innovative strategies to
communicate CIPs to farmers in a timely manner.
Too
Technical for Farmers
The format and the presentation of CIPs are vital to
enhance their usefulness. Most CIPs, especially seasonal or medium and long-term
CIPs, are in probabilistic terms. Users find these hard to comprehend and
interpret. Furthermore, probabilistic weather forecasts do not contain key
pieces of information, such as location of rainfall, timing and duration of
rainfall, and the expected volume. Presenting CIPs in local languages used by
farmers is another important consideration. On the plus side, recent
Interventions to guide and train famers to improve their understanding and the ability
to interpret CIPs, have shown some positive results.
Disconnection
between the Providers and Users of CIPs
In many developing regions, there is a wide disconnection
between CIP providers and users. Certain factors such as poor connectivity,
gaps in institutional capacities, and the lack of proactive mechanisms to
engage with users are responsible for this. It invariably leads to a drop in the
users’ confidence and trust in available CIPs.
The local institutional structures
such as farmer organizations, which govern the collective decision-making processes
among farmer communities, play a critical role in making decisions based on
probabilistic CIPs. Crop cultivation choices are highly dependent on
collective agreements of local governing structures and are linked to sub-national
and national level decisions.
All these demand-side
challenges highlight the necessity for an integrated approach to develop and
promote the use of scientific CIPs among farmers.
An
Integrated Approach
A
consortium of research partners, comprising of the Institute of Policy Studies
of Sri Lanka (IPS), the Department of Meteorology (DOM) and Janathakshan Gte Ltd.
has launched a pilot-scale action research study on ‘Integrated Climate
Information Management System (ICIMS)’, with selected groups of vulnerable
farming communities in Sri Lanka. In this project, location specific, high
resolution forecasts were issued to farmers in six Grama Niladhari divisions in
six districts. The resolution of these forecasts was considerably higher than
the forecasts issued by the DOM on a regular basis. The forecasts are now being
issued every 10 days and updated every five days. Forecasts are presented in tailor
made formats, after extensive consultations with farmers to identify their
climate information needs.
The
project took several steps to eliminate the disconnection between the DOM (CIP
providers) and the farmers (CIP users). Farmers were trained and made aware on how
to read and interpret CIPs, how weather parameters are observed and gathered,
how the CIPs were developed, and challenges in issuing high resolution CIPs at
the Regional Meteorological Stations. Community managed rainfall data
collection stations were established in each project location. Farmers were also
given the opportunity to visit the DOM to get an idea about its role and
functions.
Bridging
the communication gap was the key challenge faced during the ICIMS project.
Almost all the farming communities lived in rural areas, where there were no ready-made
channels to disseminate the CIPs directly to farmers. Internet penetration in
these locations was low, posing another hurdle. Telephone calls, faxes, and emails
were the main channels used. Notice boards with CIPS were placed in the areas
where the community gathers together.
Such
interventions have helped farmers understand and interpret weather forecasts
and minimise the disconnection between the farmers and the DOM. Farmers are now
aware about the process of issuing CIPs. Their ability to interpret forecast
information and make systematic observations on rainfall has increased
remarkably.
Field level experience and feedback from farmers indicate
high levels of acceptance and usage of CIPs. Farmers are more convinced about the
usefulness and accuracy of scientific forecasts and are making decisions more
confidently.
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